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Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft 2.0: Pick-by-pick analysis for first three rounds

One month ago, Scott Pianowski did his part to start the fantasy baseball mock draft process by detailing the first-round options for 2026. I’m going to take things one step further by breaking down the initial three rounds of a 12-team draft.

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Round 1 of Mock Draft, 2.0. (Photo by Henry Russell/Yahoo Sports)

Judge or Ohtani. Flip a coin. I went with Judge in an effort to keep my utility spots open.

You can’t go wrong with a top-two pick this year. Ohtani has had 109 homers, 280 runs and 79 steals over the past two years. Not too shabby.

In a disappointing year, Witt hit .295 with 23 homers and 38 steals. With the fences coming in at Kauffman Stadium, the 25-year-old could have a 35-35 season.

Coming off a 38-steal season, Soto has a sky-high ceiling. And even if the steals dry up, his lifetime .948 OPS shows that he also has an elite floor.

With a massive drop-off after the top three starters, managers should be open to taking a pitcher in Round 1. Skubal offers the best combination of skills, track record and supporting cast.

On skills, career résumé and position scarcity, Ramírez belongs in this spot. Still, the Guardians’ lackluster lineup mates make me worried.

Now that we know about a quad injury that caused De La Cruz to slump last summer, we can return to projecting massive counting stats for an ascending talent who is back to full health.

Tucker was a second-round option until he signed with the high-scoring Dodgers. His new team and diverse skill set put him back into the top 10 selections.

I’ll take another slow start if it ends with another 30-30 campaign. At some point, Rodríguez will come out of the gate quickly and make a run at 40-40.

By adding to their lineup, the Pirates have improved Skenes’ win potential. That was the final piece to cement the LSU product as a first-round pick.

Managers who are picking 11th will need to decide if they are willing to roll the dice on Crochet making it through the turn. In this draft, the manager didn’t want to take the chance, given that there will be plenty of hitting options for their second selection.

Acuña reestablished himself as a great hitter last season (.935 OPS) and is expected to bring back his base-stealing aggressiveness this year. He could return to top-three status by the end of the season.

Round 2 of Mock Draft, 2.0. (Photo by Henry Russell/Yahoo Sports)
Round 2 of Mock Draft, 2.0. (Photo by Henry Russell/Yahoo Sports)

Team 12 is excited to blend a balanced contributor (Acuña) with a pure power hitter. Slugging 45 homers in his first full season was impressive. It will be even more impressive if Caminero can repeat the feat while playing half his games at Tropicana Field.

Grabbing Henderson after a down year seems like a wise move for Team 11 after they opened with a pitcher. After all, he still swiped 30 bases in 2025 and produced 37 homers and 118 runs the previous year.

After selecting Skenes, Team 10 was looking for a balanced contributor with upside. Tatís fits the bill as a potential 30-30 player who is still trying to recapture the form he showed before missing all of 2022.

Chourio’s production leveled off last season, which wasn’t a terrible outcome for a 21-year-old sophomore. He could take the next step and threaten the 30-30 club in his age-22 campaign.

Coming off his initial 30-30 season, Carroll would have been a top-10 pick if not for surgery to repair a broken hamate bone.

Rare power, an emerging lineup and a hitter-friendly park are a trifecta of reasons to grab Kurtz in Round 2, and his power skills are a great compliment to Team 7’s first pick of De La Cruz. Lowering his strikeout rate will be the next step to superstar status.

Team 6 is deploying the “position scarcity” plan that was recently detailed in my draft strategies article. By grabbing the top third baseman (Ramírez) and the best catcher, they have set themselves up to pick from the deeper pools at other positions.

After starting with Skubal, Team 5 was looking for a balanced contributor as their first hitter. Enter Chisholm, who offers the bonus of being eligible at two scarce positions.

Team 4 would have preferred more of a balanced contributor to pair with Soto, but they instead opted for the best remaining hitter and will address steals later. Schwarber has remarkably averaged 46.75 homers, 107.25 runs and 108.5 RBI over his four years in Philly.

Team 3 reached a bit on Alonso, since his power potential is the perfect complement to Witt’s high batting average and steals total. Alonso shouldn’t skip a beat after moving from the New York Mets to Baltimore.

Team 2 has a pair of rock-solid hitters. Guerrero’s good-but-not-great power skills are less of an issue when he’s paired with Ohtani, who is coming off consecutive 50-homer seasons.

Turner is quietly productive every year, and Team 1 opted for his consistency over the upside of some younger options.

Round 3 of Mock Draft, 2.0. (Photo by Henry Russell/Yahoo Sports)
Round 3 of Mock Draft, 2.0. (Photo by Henry Russell/Yahoo Sports)

With the long wait from pick 25 to 48, Team 1 decided to jump into the pitcher market. Sánchez and Yoshinobu Yamamoto have pulled away from the pack to emerge as the popular SP4 and SP5 draft options.

Knowing that Team 1 was unlikely to take two pitchers on the turn, Team 2 waited and took the leftover hurler. That turned out to be Yamamoto, who would rank ahead of Sánchez on many draft boards if not for concerns of a six-man Dodgers rotation.

With a lifetime .961 OPS, Alvarez is one of baseball’s best pure hitters. After starting with a shortstop (Witt) and first baseman (Alonso), Team 3 decided to take a chance that the 28-year-old could bounce back from an injury-plagued 2025 season.

Neto fell into the lap of Team 4, who was looking for some speed after starting with Soto and Schwarber. Neto will be selected shortly after Turner in most drafts. His 162-game pace in 2025 included 32 homers, 32 steals and 104 runs scored.

Lindor was one 2024 stolen base away from three straight 30-30 seasons. The Mets’ sparkplug lasted a little longer than usual in this draft; though he’s reportedly on track to be ready by Opening Day, he’s recovering from surgery to repair a broken hamate bone.

Team 6 continues to avoid the deeper hitting positions and instead opts to draft their ace. Opinions vary on Woo, with some valuing him as much as Sánchez and Yamamoto, and others wanting to first see a repeat of his breakout 2025 season (2.94 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 198 SO).

Team 7 has adopted a strategy to fill their infield first, as Marte joins Kurtz and De La Cruz. With three outstanding hitters, they can next turn their attention to pitching before plucking from the wide range of outfield options in the later rounds.

Gilbert could be undervalued, as his strikeout rate jumped in an injury-impacted 2025 season. He thrives at his pitcher-friendly home park and should be good enough on the road to give Team 8 a mid-level ace.

Sale remains as skilled as nearly any pitcher, but his injury history and age make him a boom-or-bust option for his age-37 season. After drafting two five-category stars (Rodríguez, Chourio), Team 9 takes their first risk.

Team 10 is borrowing from a fantasy football strategy, by stacking their top-two hitters from the same team. If Tatís has a terrific season, Machado will benefit from more RBI opportunities.

Would you rather roster Crochet and Harper or Acuña and Hunter Brown? That is the debate that will keep Team 11 up at night, as their Round 1 decision to draft Crochet forced them to pass on the remaining aces in Round 3.

Who says that you can’t build a great roster with the last pick? Team 12 has a pair of potential superstars in Acuña and Caminero, and Brown could be a top-five starter.

  • Team 1: Aaron Judge-Trea Turner-Cristopher Sánchez

  • Team 2: Shohei Ohtani-Vladimir Guerrero Jr.-Yoshinobu Yamamoto

  • Team 3: Bobby Witt Jr.-Pete Alonso-Yordan Alvarez

  • Team 4: Juan Soto-Kyle Schwarber-Zach Neto

  • Team 5: Tarik Skubal-Jazz Chisholm Jr.-Francisco Lindor

  • Team 6: José Ramírez-Cal Raleigh-Bryan Woo

  • Team 7: Elly De La Cruz-Nick Kurtz-Ketel Marte

  • Team 8: Kyle Tucker-Corbin Carroll-Logan Gilbert

  • Team 9: Julio Rodríguez-Jackson Chourio-Chris Sale

  • Team 10: Paul Skenes-Fernando Tatís Jr.-Manny Machado

  • Team 11: Garrett Crochet-Gunnar Henderson-Bryce Harper

  • Team 12: Ronald Acuña Jr.-Junior Caminero-Hunter Brown

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